Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bears @ Vikings UNCO @ PRST

NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

11-6  |  Road

73
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 10:00 PM ET
Viking Pavilion
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

9-5  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
📊
VIKINGS
0%
BEARS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Portland State)
BearsUNCO (-3.5) 0 VikingsPRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

3.6%

Vikings Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRST -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)

UNCO By 1-7 points

2.7%

UNCO By 8-14 points

0.5%

PRST By 1-7 points

10.7%

PRST By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
NORTHERN COLORADO
85
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
73
NORTHERN COLORADO
78
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vikings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vikings (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 PRST @ UNCO 65 - 77
Jan 15, 2026 UNCO @ PRST 73 - 76
Feb 15, 2025 UNCO @ PRST 71 - 82
Jan 16, 2025 PRST @ UNCO 69 - 72
Feb 15, 2024 UNCO @ PRST 72 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +413.0% more
Portland State: 5.9 vs Northern Colorado: 1.2
Steals (L5) +50.1% more
Portland State: 6.2 vs Northern Colorado: 4.2
Assists (L5) +32.0% more
Portland State: 18.8 vs Northern Colorado: 14.3
Rebounding (L5) +12.6% more
Portland State: 40.1 vs Northern Colorado: 35.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCO Score 67.0 73
PRST Score 85.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 28.7 25.0 / 39.0
Assists 18.8 / 14.3 12.0 / 20.0
Blocks 5.9 / 1.2 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.8 / 46.9 49.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 75.9 71.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 40.1 / 35.6 38.0 / 23.0
Steals 6.2 / 4.2 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.4 17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCO
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCO
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
UNCO
PRST
UNCO
ML
65% 20-11
50% 16-16
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
ATS
71% 22-9
53% 17-15
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
TTL
47% 14-16-1
50% 16-16
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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