KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
4-14 | Road
83
SOUTH DAKOTA
COYOTESSDAK
9-9 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
100%
COYOTES
0%
ROOS
--
COYOTES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
SOUTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (South Dakota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDAK -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDAK)
KC By 1-7 points
0.1%
KC By 8-14 points
0.0%
SDAK By 1-7 points
1.1%
SDAK By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
77
KANSAS CITY
South Dakota
107
SOUTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
Kansas City
68
KANSAS CITY
South Dakota
72
SOUTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Coyotes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Coyotes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Coyotes (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Coyotes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Win
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
SDAK @ KC
82 - 75
Jan 15, 2026
KC @ SDAK
83 - 99
Feb 13, 2025
KC @ SDAK
72 - 79
Jan 2, 2025
SDAK @ KC
54 - 68
Feb 22, 2024
KC @ SDAK
82 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.9% more
South Dakota: 6.3
vs
Kansas City: 4.6
Blocks (L5)
+26.3% more
Kansas City: 3.7
vs
South Dakota: 2.7
Turnovers (L5)
+16.6% more
Kansas City: 14.8
vs
South Dakota: 12.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Kansas City: 44.0%
vs
South Dakota: 40.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
77.0
83
SDAK Score
107.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.6 / 44.0
40.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.2 / 13.4
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.7
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 47.8
51.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 79.1
84.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 33.7
41.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.3 / 4.6
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 14.8
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
SDAK
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
SDAK
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDAK
KC
SDAK
KC
ML
70%
21-9
63%
19-11
63%
19-11
67%
20-10
ATS
70%
21-9
67%
20-10
63%
19-11
67%
20-10
TTL
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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