ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
11-7 | Road
93
IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
4-15 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
JAGUARS
0%
COLONIALS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)
RMU By 1-7 points
23.0%
RMU By 8-14 points
12.2%
IUIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
IUIN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Robert Morris
90
ROBERT MORRIS
IU Indianapolis
92
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Robert Morris
68
ROBERT MORRIS
IU Indianapolis
72
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o160.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
IUIN @ RMU
58 - 74
Jan 15, 2026
RMU @ IUIN
93 - 96
Feb 27, 2025
RMU @ IUIN
82 - 68
Jan 30, 2025
IUIN @ RMU
53 - 106
Jan 20, 2024
RMU @ IUIN
80 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+147.7% more
IU Indianapolis: 2.7
vs
Robert Morris: 1.1
Steals (L5)
+131.1% more
IU Indianapolis: 9.1
vs
Robert Morris: 4.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.4%
IU Indianapolis: 79.6%
vs
Robert Morris: 71.2%
Rebounding (L5)
+14.3% more
Robert Morris: 33.7
vs
IU Indianapolis: 28.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RMU Score
90.0
93
IUIN Score
92.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 34.6
44.0 / 48.0
Assists
19.2 / 19.0
17.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.7 / 1.1
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 45.4
48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 71.2
74.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
28.9 / 33.7
28.0 / 32.0
Steals
9.1 / 4.0
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 11.4
8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
RMU
IUIN
RMU
ML
69%
22-10
36%
12-21
78%
25-7
56%
18-14
ATS
66%
21-11
55%
18-15
78%
25-7
56%
18-14
TTL
50%
16-16
55%
18-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
