Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Huskies ELON @ NE

ELON

PHOENIXELON

11-6  |  Road

78
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Cabot Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHEASTERN

HUSKIESNE

5-11  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
PHOENIX --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Northeastern)
PhoenixELON (-3.5) 0 HuskiesNE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

18.4%

Huskies Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NE -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)

ELON By 1-7 points

12.2%

ELON By 8-14 points

4.0%

NE By 1-7 points

24.3%

NE By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
71
ELON
80
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
68
ELON
72
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 15, 2026 ELON @ NE 78 - 85
Dec 29, 2025 NE @ ELON 91 - 103
Feb 1, 2025 NE @ ELON 60 - 71
Feb 22, 2024 ELON @ NE 58 - 61
Jan 20, 2024 NE @ ELON 84 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +16.4%
Northeastern: 75.0% vs Elon: 58.6%
Steals (L5) +12.6% more
Northeastern: 6.6 vs Elon: 5.9
Rebounding (L5) +27.7% more
Elon: 34.7 vs Northeastern: 25.1
Blocks (L5) +16.9% more
Elon: 3.1 vs Northeastern: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ELON Score 71.0 78
NE Score 80.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 38.7 37.0 / 48.0
Assists 16.3 / 17.6 19.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.1 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 49.6 46.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 58.6 73.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 25.1 / 34.7 33.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.9 14.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 10.1 11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
NE
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON Advantage
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
NE
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.9
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
ELON
NE
ELON
ML
70% 21-9
61% 19-12
60% 18-12
71% 22-9
ATS
63% 19-11
55% 17-14
60% 18-12
71% 22-9
TTL
53% 16-14
52% 16-15
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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