HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
13-4 | Road
71
STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
9-9 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
100%
SEAWOLVES
0%
PRIDE
--
SEAWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
108.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
STONY BROOK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Stony Brook)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STBK -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STBK)
HOF By 1-7 points
20.1%
HOF By 8-14 points
9.3%
STBK By 1-7 points
27.4%
STBK By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
52
HOFSTRA
Stony Brook
56
STONY BROOK
Simulated Score
Hofstra
71
HOFSTRA
Stony Brook
76
STONY BROOK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seawolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seawolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seawolves (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Seawolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 108.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
STBK @ HOF
58 - 67
Jan 15, 2026
HOF @ STBK
71 - 76
Feb 27, 2025
HOF @ STBK
56 - 59
Feb 8, 2025
STBK @ HOF
80 - 75
Mar 11, 2024
STBK @ HOF
63 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+37.5% more
Stony Brook: 13.5
vs
Hofstra: 9.8
Steals (L5)
+36.3% more
Stony Brook: 6.4
vs
Hofstra: 4.7
Blocks (L5)
+36.1% more
Stony Brook: 4.5
vs
Hofstra: 3.3
Rebounding (L5)
+21.9% more
Hofstra: 42.4
vs
Stony Brook: 33.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
52.0
71
STBK Score
56.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 35.5
44.0 / 45.0
Assists
13.5 / 9.8
16.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.3
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
38.8 / 40.1
47.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 78.8
67.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 42.4
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.7
2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 10.7
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
STBK
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
STBK
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STBK
HOF
STBK
HOF
ML
61%
19-12
77%
27-8
71%
22-9
71%
25-10
ATS
61%
19-12
83%
29-6
71%
22-9
71%
25-10
TTL
65%
20-11
51%
18-17
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
Contextual Game News
