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OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

5-13  |  Road

84
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

12-6  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
MONARCHS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
186.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
MonarchsODU (-3.5) 0 EaglesGASO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Monarchs Cover

42.1%

Eagles Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GASO +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

ODU By 1-7 points

26.8%

ODU By 8-14 points

18.6%

GASO By 1-7 points

23.0%

GASO By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
94
OLD DOMINION
92
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
68
OLD DOMINION
72
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Monarchs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o162.5 Win
Proj Total: 186.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 ODU @ GASO 84 - 88
Jan 15, 2026 ODU @ GASO 84 - 87
Jan 3, 2026 GASO @ ODU 93 - 86
Feb 15, 2025 ODU @ GASO 75 - 78
Jan 18, 2025 GASO @ ODU 67 - 63
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
Old Dominion: 35.2% vs Georgia Southern: 29.3%
Blocks (L5) +69.1% more
Georgia Southern: 4.9 vs Old Dominion: 2.9
Free Throw % (L5) +10.7%
Georgia Southern: 74.8% vs Old Dominion: 64.1%
Assists (L5) +10.7% more
Georgia Southern: 11.9 vs Old Dominion: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 94.0 84
GASO Score 92.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.3 / 35.2 43.0 / 43.0
Assists 11.9 / 10.8 9.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.9 / 2.9 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.9 / 40.3 50.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 64.1 68.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 36.1 35.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.9 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 9.3 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
GASO
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
ODU
GASO
ODU
ML
56% 20-16
52% 17-16
58% 19-14
67% 22-11
ATS
64% 23-13
70% 23-10
58% 19-14
67% 22-11
TTL
61% 22-14
70% 23-10
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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