DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
7-9 | Road
71
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
13-6 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
NORSE
100%
TITANS
--
NORSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DETM -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
DETM By 1-7 points
2.7%
DETM By 8-14 points
9.3%
NKU By 1-7 points
0.4%
NKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
104
DETROIT MERCY
Northern Kentucky
78
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
65
DETROIT MERCY
Northern Kentucky
78
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Norse
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Norse (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
NKU @ DETM
77 - 90
Jan 15, 2026
DETM @ NKU
71 - 96
Mar 4, 2025
DETM @ NKU
75 - 99
Jan 30, 2025
NKU @ DETM
57 - 68
Dec 18, 2024
DETM @ NKU
60 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.6% more
Detroit Mercy: 3.3
vs
Northern Kentucky: 1.6
Turnovers (L5)
+34.8% more
Detroit Mercy: 13.4
vs
Northern Kentucky: 8.7
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
Detroit Mercy: 40.8
vs
Northern Kentucky: 34.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Detroit Mercy: 39.4%
vs
Northern Kentucky: 37.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
104.0
71
NKU Score
78.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 39.4
39.0 / 29.0
Assists
16.4 / 15.2
19.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.6 / 3.3
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 46.0
54.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 78.5
74.0 / 33.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 40.8
40.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.6
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 13.4
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
NKU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
NKU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NKU
DETM
NKU
DETM
ML
53%
18-16
58%
18-13
65%
22-12
50%
15-15
ATS
56%
19-15
61%
19-12
65%
22-12
50%
15-15
TTL
68%
23-11
61%
19-12
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
