DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
8-10 | Road
73
MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
8-9 | Home
51
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
100%
HAWKS
0%
DRAGONS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Monmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MONM -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)
DREX By 1-7 points
13.7%
DREX By 8-14 points
4.8%
MONM By 1-7 points
25.3%
MONM By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Drexel
69
DREXEL
Monmouth
77
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Drexel
71
DREXEL
Monmouth
75
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o127.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u127.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
DREX @ MONM
57 - 65
Feb 12, 2026
MONM @ DREX
93 - 73
Jan 15, 2026
DREX @ MONM
73 - 51
Mar 1, 2025
MONM @ DREX
61 - 71
Jan 30, 2025
DREX @ MONM
97 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.3% more
Monmouth: 5.2
vs
Drexel: 4.0
Steals (L5)
+9.6% more
Monmouth: 7.0
vs
Drexel: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.9%
Monmouth: 73.7%
vs
Drexel: 66.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+12.4% more
Drexel: 13.3
vs
Monmouth: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DREX Score
69.0
73
MONM Score
77.0
51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 37.7
21.0 / 56.0
Assists
12.6 / 14.1
7.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.0
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 44.0
32.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
73.7 / 66.8
78.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 35.6
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.4
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 13.3
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
DREX
MONM
DREX
ML
62%
21-13
58%
19-14
64%
21-12
81%
26-6
ATS
62%
21-13
70%
23-10
64%
21-12
81%
26-6
TTL
59%
20-14
48%
16-17
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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