ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
7-10 | Road
75
HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
7-10 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
CRUSADERS
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
CRUSADERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ARMY -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
ARMY By 1-7 points
25.3%
ARMY By 8-14 points
26.2%
HC By 1-7 points
13.7%
HC By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
72
ARMY
Holy Cross
64
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
Army
68
ARMY
Holy Cross
72
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Black Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crusaders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Black Knights (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Crusaders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
HC @ ARMY
68 - 69
Jan 14, 2026
ARMY @ HC
75 - 82
Feb 5, 2025
HC @ ARMY
65 - 68
Jan 22, 2025
ARMY @ HC
76 - 71
Mar 5, 2024
HC @ ARMY
84 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+41.1% more
Army: 16.4
vs
Holy Cross: 9.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+16.0%
Army: 40.0%
vs
Holy Cross: 24.1%
Rebounding (L5)
+12.7% more
Army: 34.8
vs
Holy Cross: 30.4
Steals (L5)
+45.1% more
Holy Cross: 6.1
vs
Army: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
72.0
75
HC Score
64.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.1 / 40.0
59.0 / 27.0
Assists
9.7 / 16.4
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.5 / 1.4
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 44.0
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 69.6
88.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
30.4 / 34.8
30.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.1 / 4.2
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 9.1
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
HC
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
ARMY
HC
ARMY
ML
52%
16-15
44%
14-18
61%
19-12
50%
16-16
ATS
55%
17-14
44%
14-18
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
TTL
58%
18-13
81%
26-6
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
