COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
9-8 | Road
86
LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
5-12 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
GREYHOUNDS
100%
RAIDERS
--
GREYHOUNDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLG -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
COLG By 1-7 points
10.7%
COLG By 8-14 points
21.6%
L-MD By 1-7 points
2.7%
L-MD By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Colgate
81
COLGATE
Loyola Maryland
63
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Colgate
75
COLGATE
Loyola Maryland
63
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Raiders (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
L-MD @ COLG
77 - 90
Feb 21, 2026
L-MD @ COLG
98 - 101
Jan 14, 2026
COLG @ L-MD
86 - 80
Feb 23, 2025
COLG @ L-MD
65 - 84
Feb 8, 2025
L-MD @ COLG
68 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+17.6% more
Colgate: 3.4
vs
Loyola Maryland: 2.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Colgate: 46.5%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 40.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Colgate: 36.8%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 35.2%
Steals (L5)
+46.6% more
Loyola Maryland: 6.8
vs
Colgate: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLG Score
81.0
86
L-MD Score
63.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 36.8
31.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.0 / 15.7
16.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.4
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 46.5
41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 72.0
65.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 34.8
37.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.8 / 4.7
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 9.7
6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
L-MD
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
L-MD
COLG
L-MD
COLG
ML
53%
17-15
59%
19-13
66%
21-11
69%
22-10
ATS
56%
18-14
72%
23-9
66%
21-11
70%
23-10
TTL
44%
14-18
78%
25-7
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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