Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Bears LAR @ CHI

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

12-5  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sun, Jan 18 • 6:30 PM ET
Soldier Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BEARSCHI

11-6  |  Home

17
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
BEARS
100%
RAMS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Los Angeles)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 BearsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

61.2%

Bears Cover

38.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

LAR By 1-6 points

17.0%

LAR By 7-13 points

18.0%

CHI By 1-6 points

14.7%

CHI By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
31
LOS ANGELES
27
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
20
LOS ANGELES
27
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 58.0
D
Sim u48.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 18, 2026 LAR @ CHI 20 - 17
Sep 29, 2024 LAR @ CHI 18 - 24
Sep 12, 2021 CHI @ LAR 14 - 34
Oct 26, 2020 CHI @ LAR 10 - 24
Nov 17, 2019 CHI @ LAR 7 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +29.8% more
Los Angeles: 284.3 vs Chicago: 199.7
Turnovers (L5) +27.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9 vs Chicago: 0.6
Yards Per Play (L5) +24.9% more
Los Angeles: 7.0 vs Chicago: 5.3
Total Yards (L5) +18.9% more
Los Angeles: 445.9 vs Chicago: 361.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 31.0 20
CHI Score 27.0 17
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
CHI Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
CHI Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +9.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
LAR
CHI
LAR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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