Home / NFL Projections NFL / 49ers @ Seahawks SF @ SEA

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

12-5  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 8:00 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

14-3  |  Home

41
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
49ERS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Seattle)
49ersSF (-3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

28.4%

Seahawks Cover

71.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SEA -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SF By 1-6 points

12.2%

SF By 7-13 points

8.8%

SEA By 1-6 points

16.1%

SEA By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
20
SAN FRANCISCO
28
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
20
SAN FRANCISCO
27
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o44.5 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
D
Sim u44.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 SF @ SEA 6 - 41
Jan 3, 2026 SEA @ SF 13 - 3
Sep 7, 2025 SF @ SEA 17 - 13
Nov 17, 2024 SEA @ SF 20 - 17
Oct 10, 2024 SF @ SEA 36 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Yards Per Play (L5) +15.1% more
Seattle: 5.7 vs San Francisco: 4.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +14.1% more
Seattle: 228.1 vs San Francisco: 199.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +19.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5 vs Seattle: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +15.0% more
San Francisco: 21.5 vs Seattle: 18.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 20.0 6
SEA Score 28.0 41
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
SEA
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
SF
SEA
SF
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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