AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
BULLS
0%
JAZZ
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
UTAH By 1-7 points
21.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
10.7%
CHI By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
117
UTAH
Chicago
120
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Utah
108
UTAH
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u241.0
Loss
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u241.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
UTAH @ CHI
126 - 128
Nov 16, 2025
CHI @ UTAH
147 - 150
Mar 17, 2025
CHI @ UTAH
111 - 97
Nov 4, 2024
UTAH @ CHI
135 - 126
Mar 6, 2024
CHI @ UTAH
119 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.0% more
Chicago: 5.2
vs
Utah: 3.3
Turnovers (L5)
+24.2% more
Utah: 16.0
vs
Chicago: 12.1
Steals (L5)
+20.9% more
Utah: 7.7
vs
Chicago: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
117.0
126
CHI Score
120.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 34.6
40.0 / 29.0
Assists
27.5 / 29.5
36.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.3
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 46.4
51.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 78.9
81.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
45.1 / 44.0
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.7
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 16.0
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
UTAH
CHI
UTAH
ML
56%
54-42
60%
96-63
57%
46-35
48%
40-43
ATS
65%
62-33-1
68%
108-51
57%
46-35
48%
40-43
TTL
58%
56-40
75%
119-39-1
100%
81-0
100%
83-0