TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
24-17 | Road
115
INDIANA
PACERSIND
9-31 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
PACERS
0%
RAPTORS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
TOR By 1-7 points
9.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
2.7%
IND By 1-7 points
21.6%
IND By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
108
TORONTO
Indiana
119
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Toronto
108
TORONTO
Indiana
116
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pacers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pacers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pacers (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Pacers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o220.5
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u220.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 8, 2026
IND @ TOR
104 - 122
Jan 14, 2026
TOR @ IND
115 - 101
Nov 26, 2025
IND @ TOR
95 - 97
Nov 15, 2025
TOR @ IND
129 - 111
Feb 26, 2025
TOR @ IND
91 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+43.1% more
Indiana: 15.0
vs
Toronto: 10.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+20.0%
Indiana: 42.9%
vs
Toronto: 23.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Indiana: 47.2%
vs
Toronto: 42.9%
Blocks (L5)
+11.7% more
Toronto: 4.4
vs
Indiana: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
108.0
115
IND Score
119.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.9 / 23.0
29.0 / 36.0
Assists
30.6 / 29.6
26.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.4
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 42.9
38.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 81.8
74.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
42.3 / 41.6
46.0 / 49.0
Steals
9.2 / 8.8
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 10.5
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
TOR
IND
TOR
ML
48%
47-50
55%
57-47
54%
45-38
55%
48-39
ATS
59%
57-40
61%
62-40-2
54%
45-38
55%
48-39
TTL
54%
52-45
60%
62-42
100%
83-0
100%
87-0
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