WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
10-28 | Road
105
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
16-23 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
WIZARDS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
WSH By 1-7 points
27.4%
WSH By 8-14 points
21.6%
LAC By 1-7 points
20.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
108
WASHINGTON
LA
104
LA
Simulated Score
Washington
105
WASHINGTON
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wizards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
LAC @ WSH
110 - 106
Jan 14, 2026
WSH @ LAC
105 - 119
Jan 23, 2025
WSH @ LAC
93 - 110
Nov 27, 2024
LAC @ WSH
121 - 96
Mar 1, 2024
WSH @ LAC
115 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+41.2% more
Washington: 7.4
vs
LA: 4.4
Turnovers (L5)
+36.1% more
Washington: 19.9
vs
LA: 12.7
Rebounding (L5)
+14.4% more
Washington: 44.5
vs
LA: 38.1
Assists (L5)
+8.6% more
Washington: 24.2
vs
LA: 22.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
108.0
105
LAC Score
104.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 30.8
38.0 / 26.0
Assists
22.1 / 24.2
25.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.4 / 7.4
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 44.1
47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
81.4 / 88.7
100.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 44.5
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.7 / 9.1
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 19.9
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
WSH
LAC
WSH
ML
60%
59-40
70%
112-49
55%
45-37
47%
39-44
ATS
66%
65-33-1
69%
111-49-1
55%
45-37
47%
39-44
TTL
59%
58-40-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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