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NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

25-14  |  Road

101
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 10:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

10-30  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
KINGS
0%
KNICKS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Sacramento)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

9.7%

Kings Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

NY By 1-7 points

6.8%

NY By 8-14 points

1.7%

SAC By 1-7 points

18.6%

SAC By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
115
NEW YORK
128
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
110
NEW YORK
115
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+11) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o230.0 Loss
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim u230.0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 SAC @ NY 87 - 103
Jan 14, 2026 NY @ SAC 101 - 112
Mar 10, 2025 NY @ SAC 133 - 104
Jan 25, 2025 SAC @ NY 120 - 143
Apr 4, 2024 SAC @ NY 109 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Sacramento: 50.5% vs New York: 47.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Sacramento: 42.0% vs New York: 38.7%
Rebounding (L5) +17.7% more
New York: 45.3 vs Sacramento: 37.3
Assists (L5) +14.3% more
New York: 27.0 vs Sacramento: 23.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 115.0 101
SAC Score 128.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.0 / 38.7 37.0 / 20.0
Assists 23.1 / 27.0 23.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.4 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 47.2 47.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 76.4 / 82.1 84.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 45.3 48.0 / 45.0
Steals 6.5 / 7.4 4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 14.5 17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
NY
SAC
NY
ML
55% 55-45
61% 114-72
61% 50-32
56% 57-45
ATS
54% 52-45-3
67% 124-62
61% 50-32
56% 57-45
TTL
58% 57-42-1
72% 133-53
100% 82-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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