Home / NHL Projections NHL / Senators @ Rangers OTT @ NYR

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

21-19-5  |  Road

8
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

20-21-6  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Artem Zub
GOALTENDER

Artem Zub

#2 | Defense
@
Jonathan Quick
GOALTENDER

Jonathan Quick

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Artem Zub None-None -- -- --
Jonathan Quick None-None 11.12 0.647 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 11.12
-- Save % 0.647
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
SENATORS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Ottawa)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

OTT By 1 goal

17.5%

OTT By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
OTTAWA
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
OTTAWA
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Senators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Senators (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 23, 2026 OTT @ NYR 2 - 1
Jan 14, 2026 OTT @ NYR 8 - 4
Dec 4, 2025 NYR @ OTT 4 - 2
Mar 8, 2025 NYR @ OTT 3 - 4
Jan 21, 2025 OTT @ NYR 0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +26.4% more
Ottawa: 14.4 vs New York: 10.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +20.4% more
Ottawa: 31.7 vs New York: 25.3
Power Play % (L5) +23.2%
New York: 27.0% vs Ottawa: 3.8%
Hits (L5) +14.1% more
New York: 29.0 vs Ottawa: 25.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 3.0 8
NYR Score 1.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 10.6 / 14.4 20.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 53.6 / 53.9 66.0 / 34.0
Hits 29.0 / 25.4 38.0 / 13.0
Power Play % 27.0 / 3.8 100.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 25.3 / 31.7 22.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 5.1 / 4.7 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
41%MONEY59%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
OTT
NYR
OTT
ML
80% 4-1
0% 0-3
40% 2-3
67% 2-1
ATS
80% 4-1
0% 0-3
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
TTL
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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