DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
8-9 | Road
76
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SALUKISSIU
8-9 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
SALUKIS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
SALUKIS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Southern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIU)
DRKE By 1-7 points
18.6%
DRKE By 8-14 points
8.0%
SIU By 1-7 points
27.2%
SIU By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Drake
82
DRAKE
Southern Illinois
87
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Drake
77
DRAKE
Southern Illinois
68
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Salukis
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Salukis (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
DRKE @ SIU
67 - 63
Feb 18, 2026
SIU @ DRKE
66 - 61
Jan 14, 2026
DRKE @ SIU
76 - 73
Mar 7, 2025
SIU @ DRKE
53 - 70
Feb 1, 2025
DRKE @ SIU
75 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+126.9% more
Southern Illinois: 6.0
vs
Drake: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+10.9% more
Southern Illinois: 7.1
vs
Drake: 6.4
Turnovers (L5)
+10.9% more
Southern Illinois: 14.6
vs
Drake: 13.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Southern Illinois: 45.3%
vs
Drake: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DRKE Score
82.0
76
SIU Score
87.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 38.5
12.0 / 24.0
Assists
14.3 / 13.8
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
6.0 / 2.6
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 43.3
36.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
59.5 / 60.8
67.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 31.6
47.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.4
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 13.1
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
SIU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
SIU
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
SIU
9-22-0
O: 29.0% / U: 71.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIU
DRKE
SIU
DRKE
ML
53%
17-15
59%
20-14
47%
15-17
38%
13-21
ATS
56%
18-14
85%
29-5
47%
15-17
38%
13-21
TTL
53%
17-15
56%
19-15
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
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