IONA
GAELSIONA
12-6 | Road
68
RIDER
BRONCSRID
1-14 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
GAELS
0%
BRONCS
100%
GAELS
--
BRONCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Iona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IONA -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
IONA By 1-7 points
0.1%
IONA By 8-14 points
0.6%
RID By 1-7 points
0.0%
RID By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Iona
82
IONA
Rider
43
RIDER
Simulated Score
Iona
75
IONA
Rider
68
RIDER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gaels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gaels (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim
Gaels (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
RID @ IONA
58 - 80
Jan 14, 2026
IONA @ RID
68 - 72
Feb 14, 2025
RID @ IONA
74 - 71
Jan 23, 2025
IONA @ RID
73 - 67
Feb 23, 2024
IONA @ RID
75 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+35.6% more
Iona: 15.6
vs
Rider: 10.1
Steals (L5)
+25.5% more
Iona: 5.8
vs
Rider: 4.4
Turnovers (L5)
+20.7% more
Iona: 13.7
vs
Rider: 10.9
Rebounding (L5)
+13.9% more
Iona: 38.5
vs
Rider: 33.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IONA Score
82.0
68
RID Score
43.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.8 / 33.1
40.0 / 37.0
Assists
10.1 / 15.6
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.5
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 45.9
46.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
64.2 / 64.7
71.0 / 42.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 38.5
45.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.4 / 5.8
1.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 13.7
10.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RID
IONA
RID
IONA
ML
72%
21-8
41%
13-19
66%
19-10
62%
20-12
ATS
72%
21-8
53%
17-15
66%
19-10
62%
20-12
TTL
62%
18-11
66%
21-11
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career