SAINT PETER'S
PEACOCKSSPU
8-6 | Road
74
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
12-5 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
0%
BOBCATS
100%
PEACOCKS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Saint Peter's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SPU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)
SPU By 1-7 points
25.3%
SPU By 8-14 points
26.2%
QUIN By 1-7 points
13.7%
QUIN By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Peter's
81
SAINT PETER'S
Quinnipiac
73
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Saint Peter's
66
SAINT PETER'S
Quinnipiac
74
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Peacocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Peacocks (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
SPU @ QUIN
74 - 70
Feb 28, 2025
SPU @ QUIN
64 - 69
Jan 3, 2025
QUIN @ SPU
59 - 46
Mar 15, 2024
SPU @ QUIN
62 - 60
Mar 9, 2024
QUIN @ SPU
89 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.0% more
Saint Peter's: 5.3
vs
Quinnipiac: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+15.1% more
Saint Peter's: 12.2
vs
Quinnipiac: 10.4
Assists (L5)
+32.3% more
Quinnipiac: 16.1
vs
Saint Peter's: 12.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
Quinnipiac: 37.3%
vs
Saint Peter's: 29.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SPU Score
81.0
74
QUIN Score
73.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 29.9
37.0 / 44.0
Assists
16.1 / 12.2
13.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.3
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 40.9
41.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 74.3
63.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 38.9
27.0 / 31.0
Steals
9.3 / 8.6
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 12.2
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU
Advantage
16-11-1
(59.3%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
SPU
QUIN
SPU
ML
66%
21-11
64%
18-10
53%
17-15
71%
20-8
ATS
59%
19-13
71%
20-8
53%
17-15
71%
20-8
TTL
62%
20-12
61%
17-11
100%
32-0
100%
28-0
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