AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
BILLIKENS
0%
RAMS
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
FOR By 1-7 points
16.9%
FOR By 8-14 points
6.8%
SLU By 1-7 points
26.8%
SLU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Fordham
89
FORDHAM
Saint Louis
95
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
Fordham
71
FORDHAM
Saint Louis
76
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Billikens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Billikens (+18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
FOR @ SLU
56 - 78
Dec 31, 2024
SLU @ FOR
88 - 63
Feb 3, 2024
FOR @ SLU
67 - 65
Jan 31, 2023
SLU @ FOR
65 - 75
Jan 15, 2022
FOR @ SLU
45 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+223.0% more
Saint Louis: 3.1
vs
Fordham: 0.9
Assists (L5)
+40.3% more
Saint Louis: 20.3
vs
Fordham: 14.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.3%
Saint Louis: 41.7%
vs
Fordham: 32.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.1%
Saint Louis: 53.1%
vs
Fordham: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FOR Score
89.0
56
SLU Score
95.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.7 / 32.4
40.0 / 23.0
Assists
20.3 / 14.4
19.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.1 / 0.9
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
53.1 / 44.0
51.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 75.1
71.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 36.7
36.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.5
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 10.9
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
FOR
SLU
FOR
ML
70%
23-10
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
59%
19-13
ATS
73%
24-9
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
59%
19-13
TTL
61%
20-13
59%
19-13
100%
31-0
100%
32-0