AI Model Win Probability
BLAZERS
0%
GREEN WAVE
100%
BLAZERS
--
GREEN WAVE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (UAB)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAB -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)
UAB By 1-7 points
1.7%
UAB By 8-14 points
6.8%
TULN By 1-7 points
0.2%
TULN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UAB
89
UAB
Tulane
61
TULANE
Simulated Score
UAB
74
UAB
Tulane
78
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Green Wave
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blazers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Green Wave (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
TULN @ UAB
55 - 54
Jan 14, 2026
UAB @ TULN
82 - 69
Mar 9, 2025
UAB @ TULN
68 - 85
Jan 7, 2025
TULN @ UAB
69 - 81
Feb 25, 2024
UAB @ TULN
78 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+11.3% more
UAB: 39.8
vs
Tulane: 35.3
Blocks (L5)
+77.4% more
Tulane: 4.6
vs
UAB: 2.6
Turnovers (L5)
+27.8% more
Tulane: 11.1
vs
UAB: 8.7
Steals (L5)
+18.8% more
Tulane: 10.2
vs
UAB: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAB Score
89.0
82
TULN Score
61.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 29.4
26.0 / 38.0
Assists
15.7 / 14.5
14.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.6
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 43.6
40.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 69.5
74.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 39.8
27.0 / 45.0
Steals
10.2 / 8.6
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 8.7
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAB
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
UAB
TULN
UAB
ML
70%
23-10
59%
19-13
47%
15-17
41%
13-19
ATS
62%
20-12-1
56%
18-14
47%
15-17
41%
13-19
TTL
55%
18-15
69%
22-10
100%
32-0
100%
32-0