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VCU

RAMSVCU

11-6  |  Road

84
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 6:00 PM ET
Thomas M. Ryan Center
View Odds Details →

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

10-7  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
RAMS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (VCU)
RamsVCU (-3.5) 0 RamsURI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

90.3%

Rams Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VCU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)

VCU By 1-7 points

18.6%

VCU By 8-14 points

26.8%

URI By 1-7 points

6.8%

URI By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
90
VCU
77
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
65
VCU
72
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 14, 2026 VCU @ URI 84 - 75
Jan 21, 2025 VCU @ URI 81 - 57
Feb 28, 2024 URI @ VCU 67 - 88
Feb 15, 2023 VCU @ URI 55 - 54
Feb 8, 2022 URI @ VCU 64 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +21.5% more
VCU: 4.9 vs Rhode Island: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5) +15.2%
VCU: 79.8% vs Rhode Island: 64.6%
Rebounding (L5) +9.8% more
VCU: 34.5 vs Rhode Island: 31.1
Turnovers (L5) +28.6% more
Rhode Island: 12.7 vs VCU: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VCU Score 90.0 84
URI Score 77.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 32.4 32.0 / 41.0
Assists 13.4 / 11.6 10.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.9 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 45.9 49.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 64.6 / 79.8 63.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 31.1 / 34.5 31.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.7 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 9.9 13.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VCU Advantage
28-8-0 (77.8%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
URI
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VCU Advantage
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -0.2
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
VCU
URI
VCU
ML
62% 20-12
72% 26-10
59% 19-13
67% 22-11
ATS
56% 18-14
81% 29-7
59% 19-13
67% 22-11
TTL
56% 18-14
58% 21-15
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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