Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Thundering Herd CCU @ MRSH

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

9-9  |  Road

85
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Cam Henderson Center
View Odds Details →

MARSHALL

THUNDERING HERDMRSH

11-6  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
0%
📊
THUNDERING HERD
100%
CHANTICLEERS --
THUNDERING HERD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MARSHALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 Thundering HerdMRSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

46.0%

Thundering Herd Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MRSH +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRSH)

CCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

CCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

MRSH By 1-7 points

24.3%

MRSH By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
69
COASTAL CAROLINA
68
MARSHALL
Simulated Score
70
COASTAL CAROLINA
75
MARSHALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thundering Herd Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Thundering Herd (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Thundering Herd (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 MRSH @ CCU 75 - 79
Jan 14, 2026 CCU @ MRSH 85 - 83
Feb 1, 2025 CCU @ MRSH 62 - 67
Jan 18, 2025 MRSH @ CCU 77 - 64
Feb 17, 2024 MRSH @ CCU 67 - 74
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Coastal Carolina: 36.8% vs Marshall: 35.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +1.6%
Coastal Carolina: 69.4% vs Marshall: 67.8%
Steals (L5) +87.7% more
Marshall: 6.9 vs Coastal Carolina: 3.7
Assists (L5) +53.4% more
Marshall: 16.1 vs Coastal Carolina: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 69.0 85
MRSH Score 68.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 36.8 53.0 / 45.0
Assists 16.1 / 10.5 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.6 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 41.9 47.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 69.4 63.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 36.3 32.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.9 / 3.7 10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 9.2 6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
MRSH
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
MRSH
10-20-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
MRSH
19-11-1
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRSH
CCU
MRSH
CCU
ML
70% 21-9
41% 13-19
62% 18-11
55% 17-14
ATS
70% 21-9
38% 12-20
62% 18-11
55% 17-14
TTL
50% 15-15
75% 24-8
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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