SACRED HEART
PIONEERSSHU
5-13 | Road
86
SIENA
SAINTSSIE
11-6 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
SAINTS
100%
PIONEERS
--
SAINTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Sacred Heart)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHU -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)
SHU By 1-7 points
5.8%
SHU By 8-14 points
15.3%
SIE By 1-7 points
1.1%
SIE By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacred Heart
86
SACRED HEART
Siena
64
SIENA
Simulated Score
Sacred Heart
68
SACRED HEART
Siena
72
SIENA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Saints
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Saints (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
SHU @ SIE
86 - 80
Feb 16, 2025
SIE @ SHU
80 - 73
Jan 16, 2025
SHU @ SIE
75 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.6% more
Sacred Heart: 13.9
vs
Siena: 9.2
Assists (L5)
+9.9% more
Sacred Heart: 12.4
vs
Siena: 11.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Sacred Heart: 34.3%
vs
Siena: 29.7%
Blocks (L5)
+36.0% more
Siena: 2.2
vs
Sacred Heart: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SHU Score
86.0
86
SIE Score
64.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 34.3
24.0 / 43.0
Assists
11.1 / 12.4
21.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.6
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 40.9
45.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 74.7
90.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 34.0
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.7 / 5.5
4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 13.9
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIE
SHU
SIE
SHU
ML
66%
23-12
61%
20-13
48%
16-17
73%
24-9
ATS
66%
23-12
76%
25-8
48%
16-17
73%
24-9
TTL
54%
19-16
58%
19-14
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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