CHATTANOOGA
MOCSUTC
7-10 | Road
76
WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
11-6 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
MOCS
100%
TERRIERS
0%
MOCS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
WOFFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Wofford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WOF -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WOF)
UTC By 1-7 points
16.9%
UTC By 8-14 points
6.8%
WOF By 1-7 points
26.8%
WOF By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chattanooga
58
CHATTANOOGA
Wofford
64
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
Chattanooga
70
CHATTANOOGA
Wofford
75
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terriers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terriers (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
WOF @ UTC
81 - 55
Jan 14, 2026
UTC @ WOF
76 - 67
Feb 5, 2025
UTC @ WOF
79 - 70
Jan 15, 2025
WOF @ UTC
81 - 83
Mar 9, 2024
WOF @ UTC
57 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.1% more
Wofford: 7.6
vs
Chattanooga: 6.2
Turnovers (L5)
+20.4% more
Wofford: 9.6
vs
Chattanooga: 7.9
Blocks (L5)
+17.8% more
Wofford: 3.1
vs
Chattanooga: 2.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Wofford: 44.4%
vs
Chattanooga: 37.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTC Score
58.0
76
WOF Score
64.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.4 / 37.1
32.0 / 42.0
Assists
15.4 / 14.7
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.6
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 43.9
35.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 80.0
64.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 31.9
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.6 / 6.2
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 7.9
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTC
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
UTC
WOF
UTC
ML
39%
12-19
48%
15-16
61%
19-12
53%
16-14
ATS
58%
18-13
52%
16-15
61%
19-12
55%
17-14
TTL
65%
20-11
77%
24-7
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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