Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buffaloes @ Bearcats COLO @ CIN

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

12-4  |  Road

68
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Fifth Third Arena
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

BEARCATSCIN

8-8  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BUFFALOES
100%
📊
BEARCATS
0%
BUFFALOES --
BEARCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Cincinnati)
BuffaloesCOLO (-3.5) 0 BearcatsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buffaloes Cover

0.0%

Bearcats Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIN -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

COLO By 1-7 points

0.0%

COLO By 8-14 points

0.0%

CIN By 1-7 points

0.0%

CIN By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
61
COLORADO
105
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
70
COLORADO
75
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearcats (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Bearcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 14, 2026 COLO @ CIN 68 - 77
Jan 15, 2025 CIN @ COLO 68 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +21.3% more
Cincinnati: 17.6 vs Colorado: 14.5
Free Throw % (L5) +24.3%
Colorado: 86.0% vs Cincinnati: 61.6%
Rebounding (L5) +12.3% more
Colorado: 37.7 vs Cincinnati: 33.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Colorado: 30.9% vs Cincinnati: 27.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLO Score 61.0 68
CIN Score 105.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.5 / 30.9 19.0 / 35.0
Assists 17.6 / 14.5 18.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.6 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 44.6 45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 61.6 / 86.0 69.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 37.7 32.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.5 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 10.0 10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
CIN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
CIN
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
COLO
CIN
COLO
ML
67% 22-11
61% 20-13
74% 23-8
69% 22-10
ATS
64% 21-12
73% 24-9
74% 23-8
69% 22-10
TTL
67% 22-11
45% 15-18
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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