Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolverines @ Huskies MICH @ WASH

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

14-1  |  Road

82
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 10:30 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

10-6  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
WOLVERINES --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Washington)
WolverinesMICH (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolverines Cover

42.1%

Huskies Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

MICH By 1-7 points

23.0%

MICH By 8-14 points

12.2%

WASH By 1-7 points

26.8%

WASH By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
84
MICHIGAN
86
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
65
MICHIGAN
78
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 14, 2026 MICH @ WASH 82 - 72
Jan 12, 2025 WASH @ MICH 75 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +2.9%
Washington: 81.4% vs Michigan: 78.5%
Blocks (L5) +30.4% more
Michigan: 5.8 vs Washington: 4.0
Rebounding (L5) +18.3% more
Michigan: 38.2 vs Washington: 31.2
Turnovers (L5) +17.0% more
Michigan: 10.9 vs Washington: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MICH Score 84.0 82
WASH Score 86.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 32.3 27.0 / 22.0
Assists 14.3 / 16.3 10.0 / 18.0
Blocks 4.0 / 5.8 8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 49.7 38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 78.5 82.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 38.2 40.0 / 42.0
Steals 5.4 / 5.0 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 10.9 12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
WASH
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MICH
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
MICH
WASH
MICH
ML
45% 15-18
78% 31-9
66% 21-11
63% 24-14
ATS
48% 16-17
78% 31-9
66% 21-11
63% 24-14
TTL
70% 23-10
57% 23-17
100% 32-0
100% 38-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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