SOUTH CAROLINA
GAMECOCKSSC
10-6 | Road
74
ARKANSAS
RAZORBACKSARK
12-4 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
RAZORBACKS
0%
GAMECOCKS
--
RAZORBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Arkansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARK -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARK)
SC By 1-7 points
12.2%
SC By 8-14 points
4.0%
ARK By 1-7 points
24.3%
ARK By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina
65
SOUTH CAROLINA
Arkansas
74
ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
South Carolina
70
SOUTH CAROLINA
Arkansas
75
ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Razorbacks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Razorbacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Razorbacks (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Razorbacks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
SC @ ARK
74 - 108
Mar 12, 2025
SC @ ARK
68 - 72
Mar 1, 2025
ARK @ SC
53 - 72
Mar 14, 2024
ARK @ SC
66 - 80
Jan 20, 2024
SC @ ARK
77 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+55.6% more
Arkansas: 4.3
vs
South Carolina: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+32.5% more
Arkansas: 10.9
vs
South Carolina: 8.2
Steals (L5)
+21.6% more
Arkansas: 7.2
vs
South Carolina: 5.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Arkansas: 40.3%
vs
South Carolina: 35.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SC Score
65.0
74
ARK Score
74.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 35.6
38.0 / 23.0
Assists
14.1 / 13.8
27.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.8
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 46.0
59.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 77.8
82.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 31.8
36.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.9
12.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 8.2
4.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
ARK
Advantage
28-9-0
(75.7%)
Margin: 9.2
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -1.0
ARK
Advantage
23-14-0
(62.2%)
Margin: 9.2
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +1.6
ARK
22-15-0
O: 59.5% / U: 40.5%
Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARK
SC
ARK
SC
ML
68%
25-12
72%
23-9
81%
25-6
68%
21-10
ATS
70%
26-11
69%
22-10
81%
25-6
68%
21-10
TTL
57%
21-16
50%
16-16
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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