Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Utes @ Red Raiders UTAH @ TTU

UTAH

UTESUTAH

8-8  |  Road

74
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 9:00 PM ET
United Supermarkets Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

12-4  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
100%
📊
RED RAIDERS
0%
UTES --
RED RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Texas Tech)
UtesUTAH (-3.5) 0 Red RaidersTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utes Cover

0.0%

Red Raiders Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TTU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

UTAH By 1-7 points

0.0%

UTAH By 8-14 points

0.0%

TTU By 1-7 points

0.1%

TTU By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
59
UTAH
96
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
68
UTAH
72
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Raiders (-17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim Red Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 14, 2026 UTAH @ TTU 74 - 88
Jan 4, 2025 TTU @ UTAH 93 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +27.9% more
Texas Tech: 16.9 vs Utah: 13.2
Rebounding (L5) +21.8% more
Texas Tech: 40.4 vs Utah: 33.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Texas Tech: 36.8% vs Utah: 31.3%
Steals (L5) +22.9% more
Utah: 6.7 vs Texas Tech: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 59.0 74
TTU Score 96.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 31.3 42.0 / 46.0
Assists 16.9 / 13.2 24.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.8 8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 44.9 51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 66.5 / 78.0 60.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 33.1 41.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.2 / 6.7 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 9.8 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
UTAH
TTU
UTAH
ML
62% 21-13
56% 18-14
71% 22-9
67% 20-10
ATS
65% 22-12
56% 18-14
71% 22-9
67% 20-10
TTL
59% 20-14
41% 13-19
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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