PITTSBURGH
PANTHERSPITT
7-9 | Road
89
GEORGIA TECH
YELLOW JACKETSGT
10-7 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
YELLOW JACKETS
0%
PANTHERS
--
YELLOW JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
189.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GT -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)
PITT By 1-7 points
21.6%
PITT By 8-14 points
10.7%
GT By 1-7 points
27.2%
GT By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
93
PITTSBURGH
Georgia Tech
96
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
71
PITTSBURGH
Georgia Tech
74
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yellow Jackets (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Yellow Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 189.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 14, 2026
PITT @ GT
89 - 66
Feb 25, 2025
GT @ PITT
73 - 67
Jan 23, 2024
PITT @ GT
72 - 64
Mar 8, 2023
GT @ PITT
81 - 89
Feb 21, 2023
GT @ PITT
68 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+110.5% more
Georgia Tech: 4.4
vs
Pittsburgh: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+36.6% more
Georgia Tech: 17.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.7
Turnovers (L5)
+25.6% more
Georgia Tech: 13.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 10.5
Rebounding (L5)
+19.0% more
Georgia Tech: 36.4
vs
Pittsburgh: 30.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PITT Score
93.0
89
GT Score
96.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 30.5
40.0 / 42.0
Assists
17.3 / 12.7
16.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.1
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 45.9
40.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 76.5
67.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 30.6
35.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.0 / 7.6
3.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 10.5
15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PITT
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -1.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PITT
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: -1.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
PITT
GT
PITT
ML
61%
19-12
58%
19-14
63%
19-11
45%
15-18
ATS
55%
17-14
64%
21-12
63%
19-11
45%
15-18
TTL
61%
19-12
61%
20-13
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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