Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Revolutionaries DAV @ GW

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

10-6  |  Road

84
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Charles E. Smith Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

12-5  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
WILDCATS --
REVOLUTIONARIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Davidson)
WildcatsDAV (-3.5) 0 RevolutionariesGW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

94.5%

Revolutionaries Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DAV -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)

DAV By 1-7 points

13.7%

DAV By 8-14 points

24.3%

GW By 1-7 points

4.0%

GW By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
67
DAVIDSON
51
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
77
DAVIDSON
68
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Wildcats (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 14, 2026 DAV @ GW 84 - 79
Feb 15, 2025 GW @ DAV 74 - 67
Jan 13, 2024 DAV @ GW 79 - 83
Mar 1, 2023 GW @ DAV 75 - 70
Feb 5, 2022 DAV @ GW 78 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +37.3% more
George Washington: 16.6 vs Davidson: 12.1
Steals (L5) +29.8% more
George Washington: 8.7 vs Davidson: 6.7
Rebounding (L5) +27.1% more
George Washington: 39.5 vs Davidson: 31.1
Blocks (L5) +14.8% more
George Washington: 4.0 vs Davidson: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAV Score 67.0 84
GW Score 51.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.2 / 30.7 28.0 / 56.0
Assists 16.6 / 12.1 14.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.0 / 3.4 2.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 40.8 40.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 77.0 / 65.9 57.0 / 52.0
Rebounding 39.5 / 31.1 39.0 / 40.0
Steals 8.7 / 6.7 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 11.4 5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
GW
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
GW Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
DAV
GW
DAV
ML
63% 22-13
64% 21-12
60% 21-14
58% 19-14
ATS
69% 24-11
48% 16-17
60% 21-14
58% 19-14
TTL
60% 21-14
52% 17-16
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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