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SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE

SPARTANSUPST

8-10  |  Road

86
FINAL
Wed, Jan 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Buccaneer Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

11-8  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
📊
BUCCANEERS
0%
SPARTANS --
BUCCANEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Charleston Southern)
SpartansUPST (-3.5) 0 BuccaneersCHSO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

3.6%

Buccaneers Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)

UPST By 1-7 points

2.7%

UPST By 8-14 points

0.5%

CHSO By 1-7 points

10.7%

CHSO By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
72
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
90
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
72
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buccaneers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buccaneers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buccaneers (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Buccaneers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 CHSO @ UPST 94 - 100
Jan 14, 2026 UPST @ CHSO 86 - 81
Feb 22, 2025 UPST @ CHSO 79 - 69
Jan 29, 2025 CHSO @ UPST 82 - 75
Feb 21, 2024 CHSO @ UPST 63 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.7% more
Charleston Southern: 6.2 vs South Carolina Upstate: 4.6
Assists (L5) +32.9% more
Charleston Southern: 14.5 vs South Carolina Upstate: 10.9
Rebounding (L5) +31.1% more
Charleston Southern: 42.9 vs South Carolina Upstate: 32.7
Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Charleston Southern: 45.8% vs South Carolina Upstate: 42.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UPST Score 72.0 86
CHSO Score 90.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 30.6 32.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.5 / 10.9 17.0 / 6.0
Blocks 6.2 / 4.6 9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 42.6 48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 60.5 / 68.8 52.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 42.9 / 32.7 40.0 / 46.0
Steals 4.6 / 5.7 2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 13.1 12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UPST
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
CHSO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UPST
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
CHSO Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -3.5
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
UPST
CHSO
UPST
ML
43% 13-17
61% 19-12
67% 20-10
83% 25-5
ATS
50% 15-15
61% 19-12
68% 21-10
83% 25-5
TTL
50% 15-15
52% 16-15
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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