CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
18-20 | Road
113
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
22-14 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
ROCKETS
0%
BULLS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
CHI By 1-7 points
21.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
10.7%
HOU By 1-7 points
27.2%
HOU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
113
CHICAGO
Houston
116
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
108
CHICAGO
Houston
115
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockets (+13)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
HOU @ CHI
124 - 132
Jan 13, 2026
CHI @ HOU
113 - 119
Mar 15, 2025
CHI @ HOU
114 - 117
Nov 17, 2024
HOU @ CHI
143 - 107
Mar 21, 2024
CHI @ HOU
117 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.0% more
Chicago: 29.3
vs
Houston: 22.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.5%
Chicago: 78.9%
vs
Houston: 68.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.9%
Chicago: 34.1%
vs
Houston: 25.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Chicago: 47.3%
vs
Houston: 43.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
113.0
113
HOU Score
116.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.2 / 34.1
29.0 / 32.0
Assists
22.2 / 29.3
24.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.9 / 6.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 47.3
51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
68.5 / 78.9
76.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
50.2 / 47.6
50.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.7
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 14.7
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
CHI
HOU
CHI
ML
61%
69-44
56%
54-42
59%
51-35
57%
46-35
ATS
62%
70-43
65%
62-33-1
59%
51-35
57%
46-35
TTL
51%
58-55
58%
56-40
100%
86-0
100%
81-0
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