Home / NHL Projections NHL / Red Wings @ Bruins DET @ BOS

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

28-15-4  |  Road

0
FINAL
Tue, Jan 13 • 7:30 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

25-19-2  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Viktor Arvidsson
GOALTENDER

Viktor Arvidsson

#33 | Left Wing
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Viktor Arvidsson None-None -- -- --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 0.00
-- Save % 1.000
-- SO 1
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
RED WINGS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

DET By 1 goal

12.1%

DET By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DETROIT
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Red Wings (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 BOS @ DET 4 - 2
Jan 13, 2026 DET @ BOS 0 - 3
Dec 2, 2025 BOS @ DET 4 - 5
Nov 29, 2025 DET @ BOS 2 - 3
Mar 29, 2025 BOS @ DET 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +28.8% more
Boston: 20.9 vs Detroit: 16.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.4% more
Boston: 26.4 vs Detroit: 21.2
Takeaways (L5) +16.4% more
Boston: 4.7 vs Detroit: 4.0
Faceoff % (L5) +7.2%
Boston: 53.3% vs Detroit: 46.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.0 0
BOS Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.9 / 19.8 10.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 53.3 / 46.2 60.6 / 39.4
Hits 20.9 / 16.3 18.0 / 14.0
Power Play % 1746.0 / 2371.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.4 / 21.2 41.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 4.0 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
37%MONEY63%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
DET
BOS
DET
ML
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
TTL
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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