DALLAS
STARSDAL
27-10-9 | Road
1
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
21-21-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 2.11 | 0.917 | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 1.00 | 0.960 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.11
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.917
Save %
Ldr 0.960
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
DUCKS
100%
STARS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
ANA By 1 goal
12.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
DAL @ ANA
1 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
DAL @ ANA
8 - 3
Nov 6, 2025
ANA @ DAL
7 - 5
Mar 18, 2025
ANA @ DAL
3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
DAL @ ANA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+21.1% more
Dallas: 5.4
vs
Anaheim: 4.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
Dallas: 51.6%
vs
Anaheim: 46.7%
Hits (L5)
+34.1% more
Anaheim: 23.0
vs
Dallas: 17.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.9% more
Anaheim: 27.8
vs
Dallas: 23.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
4.0
1
ANA Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 13.0
17.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
46.7 / 51.6
49.0 / 51.0
Hits
23.0 / 17.2
29.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
1157.0 / 783.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.8 / 23.2
25.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 5.4
8.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
DAL
ANA
DAL
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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