VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-24-5 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
20-19-5 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Leevi Merilainen
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevi Merilainen | None-None | 1.00 | 0.950 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.950
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
SENATORS
0%
CANUCKS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
VAN By 1 goal
0.9%
VAN By 2-3 goals
0.3%
OTT By 1 goal
6.6%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
1
VANCOUVER
Ottawa
5
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
OTT @ VAN
2 - 0
Jan 13, 2026
VAN @ OTT
1 - 2
Dec 21, 2024
OTT @ VAN
5 - 4
Nov 23, 2024
VAN @ OTT
4 - 3
Jan 2, 2024
OTT @ VAN
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+35.2% more
Ottawa: 25.7
vs
Vancouver: 19.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.0% more
Ottawa: 13.7
vs
Vancouver: 10.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.4%
Ottawa: 52.1%
vs
Vancouver: 42.7%
Power Play % (L5)
+8.5%
Vancouver: 14.2%
vs
Ottawa: 5.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
1.0
1
OTT Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 10.3
16.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
52.1 / 42.7
57.4 / 42.6
Hits
25.7 / 19.0
25.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
576.0 / 1423.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 26.8
40.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.7
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
VAN
OTT
VAN
ML
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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