CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
28-14-4 | Road
0
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
17-21-8 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 3.05 | 0.903 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.05
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.903
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
BLUES
100%
HURRICANES
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
17.5%
CAR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
STL By 1 goal
6.6%
STL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
St. Louis
1
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
STL @ CAR
3 - 1
Jan 13, 2026
CAR @ STL
0 - 3
Nov 17, 2024
STL @ CAR
1 - 4
Oct 19, 2024
CAR @ STL
3 - 4
Apr 12, 2024
CAR @ STL
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+41.8% more
Carolina: 5.8
vs
St. Louis: 3.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.3% more
Carolina: 32.9
vs
St. Louis: 22.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.9%
Carolina: 58.3%
vs
St. Louis: 49.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+33.5% more
St. Louis: 15.7
vs
Carolina: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.0
0
STL Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 11.7
19.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
49.3 / 58.3
48.5 / 51.5
Hits
25.9 / 20.1
26.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
34.5 / 21.5
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.6 / 32.9
31.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 5.8
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CAR
STL
CAR
ML
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
0%
0-5
33%
1-2-1
20%
1-4
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