GEORGETOWN
HOYASGTWN
9-7 | Road
83
CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
10-7 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
HOYAS
0%
BLUEJAYS
100%
HOYAS
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Georgetown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GTWN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)
GTWN By 1-7 points
16.9%
GTWN By 8-14 points
26.2%
CREI By 1-7 points
5.8%
CREI By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgetown
75
GEORGETOWN
Creighton
61
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
Georgetown
68
GEORGETOWN
Creighton
82
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hoyas
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bluejays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hoyas (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Bluejays (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CREI @ GTWN
68 - 76
Jan 13, 2026
GTWN @ CREI
83 - 86
Feb 23, 2025
GTWN @ CREI
69 - 80
Dec 18, 2024
CREI @ GTWN
57 - 81
Feb 13, 2024
GTWN @ CREI
72 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.9% more
Georgetown: 8.0
vs
Creighton: 4.9
Blocks (L5)
+27.5% more
Georgetown: 3.5
vs
Creighton: 2.5
Turnovers (L5)
+13.2% more
Georgetown: 11.3
vs
Creighton: 9.8
Rebounding (L5)
+9.1% more
Georgetown: 37.8
vs
Creighton: 34.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GTWN Score
75.0
83
CREI Score
61.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 29.8
39.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.6 / 11.0
10.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 37.3
52.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
77.0 / 79.1
82.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 37.8
24.0 / 32.0
Steals
4.9 / 8.0
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 11.3
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GTWN
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
CREI
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GTWN
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.4
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
GTWN
CREI
GTWN
ML
52%
17-16
67%
22-11
70%
21-9
73%
22-8
ATS
58%
19-14
58%
19-14
70%
21-9
73%
22-8
TTL
52%
17-16
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
