CENTRAL MICHIGAN
CHIPPEWASCMU
5-12 | Road
61
MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
17-0 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
0%
REDHAWKS
100%
CHIPPEWAS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
CMU By 1-7 points
21.6%
CMU By 8-14 points
27.4%
M-OH By 1-7 points
9.3%
M-OH By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Michigan
95
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Miami (OH)
84
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
Central Michigan
70
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Miami (OH)
75
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Chippewas
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
RedHawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim
RedHawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Win
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
CMU @ M-OH
61 - 100
Feb 4, 2025
M-OH @ CMU
76 - 70
Feb 24, 2024
CMU @ M-OH
60 - 88
Jan 23, 2024
M-OH @ CMU
55 - 71
Feb 11, 2023
CMU @ M-OH
66 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.6% more
Central Michigan: 8.5
vs
Miami (OH): 6.4
Assists (L5)
+19.9% more
Miami (OH): 15.6
vs
Central Michigan: 13.0
Rebounding (L5)
+19.4% more
Miami (OH): 36.5
vs
Central Michigan: 30.6
Blocks (L5)
+11.2% more
Miami (OH): 4.8
vs
Central Michigan: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CMU Score
95.0
61
M-OH Score
84.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 27.4
48.0 / 26.0
Assists
15.6 / 13.0
19.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.0 / 45.2
60.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
83.2 / 72.9
89.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 30.6
33.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.5
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.0
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2%
Total +/-: +0.4
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
CMU
M-OH
CMU
ML
45%
15-18
57%
17-13
41%
13-19
70%
21-9
ATS
61%
20-13
67%
20-10
41%
13-19
70%
21-9
TTL
61%
20-13
67%
20-10
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
