Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Minutemen @ Broncos MASS @ WMU

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

10-7  |  Road

85
FINAL
Tue, Jan 13 • 7:00 PM ET
University Arena (MI)
View Odds Details →

WESTERN MICHIGAN

BRONCOSWMU

7-9  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
0%
📊
BRONCOS
100%
MINUTEMEN --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Massachusetts)
MinutemenMASS (-3.5) 0 BroncosWMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Minutemen Cover

100.0%

Broncos Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MASS -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

MASS By 1-7 points

0.0%

MASS By 8-14 points

0.1%

WMU By 1-7 points

0.0%

WMU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
101
MASSACHUSETTS
54
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
73
MASSACHUSETTS
78
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Minutemen Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Minutemen (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 13, 2026 MASS @ WMU 85 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +22.7% more
Massachusetts: 18.0 vs Western Michigan: 13.9
Blocks (L5) +8.8% more
Massachusetts: 2.5 vs Western Michigan: 2.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Massachusetts: 38.6% vs Western Michigan: 34.6%
Steals (L5) +19.4% more
Western Michigan: 6.9 vs Massachusetts: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MASS Score 101.0 85
WMU Score 54.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 38.6 39.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.9 / 18.0 18.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.5 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 47.5 48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 70.3 75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 37.0 35.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.9 / 5.8 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 12.8 10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
WMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -4.7 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
WMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.7 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WMU
MASS
WMU
MASS
ML
60% 18-12
44% 14-18
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
ATS
67% 20-10
47% 15-17
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
TTL
57% 17-13
56% 18-14
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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