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UIC

FLAMESUIC

7-10  |  Road

69
FINAL
Tue, Jan 13 • 7:00 PM ET
McLeod Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN IOWA

PANTHERSUNI

12-5  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
FLAMES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Northern Iowa)
FlamesUIC (-3.5) 0 PanthersUNI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

0.2%

Panthers Cover

99.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNI -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)

UIC By 1-7 points

0.1%

UIC By 8-14 points

0.0%

UNI By 1-7 points

1.4%

UNI By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
56
UIC
85
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
68
UIC
75
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o127.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u127.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 UNI @ UIC 84 - 69
Jan 13, 2026 UIC @ UNI 69 - 61
Dec 17, 2025 UNI @ UIC 60 - 54
Feb 26, 2025 UIC @ UNI 52 - 74
Dec 4, 2024 UNI @ UIC 83 - 56
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.6%
Northern Iowa: 33.8% vs UIC: 26.2%
Turnovers (L5) +42.3% more
UIC: 13.1 vs Northern Iowa: 7.5
Blocks (L5) +23.5% more
UIC: 3.1 vs Northern Iowa: 2.4
Steals (L5) +22.4% more
UIC: 7.1 vs Northern Iowa: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIC Score 56.0 69
UNI Score 85.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 26.2 13.0 / 21.0
Assists 12.3 / 13.6 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.1 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 43.1 39.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 77.3 88.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 39.5 36.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.5 / 7.1 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 7.5 / 13.1 11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIC
--
UNI Advantage
23-13-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIC
--
UNI Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UIC
--
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
UIC
UNI
UIC
ML
51% 18-17
57% 20-15
56% 19-15
44% 15-19
ATS
49% 17-18
54% 19-16
56% 19-15
44% 15-19
TTL
69% 24-11
60% 21-14
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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