KENT STATE
GOLDEN FLASHESKENT
12-4 | Road
87
BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
13-3 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
BULLS
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUF -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
KENT By 1-7 points
0.0%
KENT By 8-14 points
0.0%
BUF By 1-7 points
0.3%
BUF By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Kent State
65
KENT STATE
Buffalo
100
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Kent State
68
KENT STATE
Buffalo
72
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o163.5
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
KENT @ BUF
87 - 81
Jan 10, 2025
KENT @ BUF
68 - 49
Feb 27, 2024
BUF @ KENT
64 - 76
Feb 2, 2024
KENT @ BUF
83 - 52
Feb 10, 2023
KENT @ BUF
72 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+53.4% more
Buffalo: 8.7
vs
Kent State: 5.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Buffalo: 48.3%
vs
Kent State: 44.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Buffalo: 37.8%
vs
Kent State: 34.4%
Blocks (L5)
+23.2% more
Kent State: 3.5
vs
Buffalo: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KENT Score
65.0
87
BUF Score
100.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 34.4
42.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.5 / 15.9
23.0 / 25.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.5
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 44.6
45.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 77.7
70.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 37.8
29.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.7 / 5.7
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 13.9
5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT
Advantage
24-10-0
(70.6%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -2.4
BUF
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -2.4
BUF
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.6
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
KENT
BUF
KENT
ML
45%
14-17
53%
18-16
45%
14-17
65%
22-12
ATS
55%
17-14
65%
22-12
45%
14-17
65%
22-12
TTL
48%
15-16
44%
15-19
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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