NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
25-15-5 | Road
4
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
17-22-5 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 5.34 | 0.773 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 4.01 | 0.852 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.34
GAA
Ldr 4.01
0.773
Save %
Ldr 0.852
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
JETS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
NYI @ WPG
4 - 5
Oct 13, 2025
WPG @ NYI
5 - 2
Mar 4, 2025
WPG @ NYI
2 - 3
Feb 7, 2025
NYI @ WPG
3 - 4
Mar 23, 2024
WPG @ NYI
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.0% more
New York: 26.5
vs
Winnipeg: 21.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.4%
New York: 50.9%
vs
Winnipeg: 48.6%
Hits (L5)
+15.0% more
Winnipeg: 20.2
vs
New York: 17.6
Power Play % (L5)
+10.6%
Winnipeg: 13.8%
vs
New York: 3.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
4
WPG Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 14.5
9.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.6 / 50.9
44.4 / 55.6
Hits
20.2 / 17.6
18.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
13.8 / 3.2
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
21.7 / 26.5
22.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 3.8
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
NYI
WPG
NYI
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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