NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
5-10 | Road
59
EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
8-9 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
EAGLES
100%
HUSKIES
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Northern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NIU -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIU)
NIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NIU By 8-14 points
0.1%
EMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Illinois
99
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Eastern Michigan
53
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Northern Illinois
68
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Eastern Michigan
72
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
NIU @ EMU
59 - 77
Feb 22, 2025
EMU @ NIU
79 - 76
Jan 4, 2025
NIU @ EMU
71 - 75
Feb 3, 2024
EMU @ NIU
66 - 76
Mar 3, 2023
EMU @ NIU
66 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+38.2% more
Northern Illinois: 18.6
vs
Eastern Michigan: 11.5
Steals (L5)
+37.4% more
Northern Illinois: 7.3
vs
Eastern Michigan: 4.6
Rebounding (L5)
+11.9% more
Northern Illinois: 37.8
vs
Eastern Michigan: 33.3
Blocks (L5)
+35.4% more
Eastern Michigan: 3.0
vs
Northern Illinois: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIU Score
99.0
59
EMU Score
53.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 31.4
28.0 / 24.0
Assists
13.6 / 12.5
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.2
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 41.4
49.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 67.9
80.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 37.8
39.0 / 38.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.3
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 18.6
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
EMU
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
NIU
EMU
NIU
ML
65%
20-11
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
66%
19-10
ATS
65%
20-11
63%
19-11
70%
21-9
66%
19-10
TTL
71%
22-9
67%
20-10
100%
30-0
100%
29-0
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