BAYLOR
BEARSBAY
10-5 | Road
94
OKLAHOMA STATE
COWBOYSOKST
13-3 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
COWBOYS
100%
BEARS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
BAYLOR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Baylor)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BAY -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAY)
BAY By 1-7 points
0.8%
BAY By 8-14 points
4.0%
OKST By 1-7 points
0.1%
OKST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Baylor
105
BAYLOR
Oklahoma State
74
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
Baylor
70
BAYLOR
Oklahoma State
78
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bears (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o164.5
Win
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
BAY @ OKST
94 - 79
Mar 1, 2025
OKST @ BAY
61 - 71
Jan 6, 2024
BAY @ OKST
75 - 70
Feb 27, 2023
BAY @ OKST
74 - 68
Jan 14, 2023
OKST @ BAY
58 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+54.6% more
Baylor: 6.1
vs
Oklahoma State: 2.8
Rebounding (L5)
+16.6% more
Baylor: 40.8
vs
Oklahoma State: 34.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.6%
Oklahoma State: 77.4%
vs
Baylor: 66.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Oklahoma State: 39.3%
vs
Baylor: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BAY Score
105.0
94
OKST Score
74.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 32.2
40.0 / 52.0
Assists
14.2 / 15.1
16.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.8 / 6.1
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 42.7
46.0 / 59.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 66.8
58.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 40.8
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.8
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 13.4
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAY
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
OKST
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAY
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
OKST
Advantage
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BAY
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +3.0
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
BAY
OKST
BAY
ML
60%
21-14
58%
19-14
66%
21-11
53%
17-15
ATS
57%
20-15
58%
19-14
66%
21-11
53%
17-15
TTL
57%
20-15
45%
15-18
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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