AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
PIRATES
0%
HUSKIES
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Seton Hall)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HALL -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
CONN By 1-7 points
2.7%
CONN By 8-14 points
0.5%
HALL By 1-7 points
10.7%
HALL By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UConn
44
UCONN
Seton Hall
62
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
UConn
65
UCONN
Seton Hall
78
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u132.5
Loss
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
HALL @ CONN
67 - 71
Jan 13, 2026
CONN @ HALL
69 - 64
Mar 8, 2025
HALL @ CONN
50 - 81
Feb 15, 2025
CONN @ HALL
68 - 69
Mar 3, 2024
HALL @ CONN
61 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Seton Hall: 39.3
vs
UConn: 36.3
Assists (L5)
+39.7% more
UConn: 19.3
vs
Seton Hall: 11.6
Blocks (L5)
+22.8% more
UConn: 5.1
vs
Seton Hall: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+17.2% more
UConn: 13.0
vs
Seton Hall: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CONN Score
44.0
69
HALL Score
62.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.2 / 40.2
6.0 / 18.0
Assists
11.6 / 19.3
6.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.1
9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 48.9
41.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 77.6
60.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
39.3 / 36.3
37.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.2 / 9.4
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 13.0
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
HALL
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
HALL
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
CONN
HALL
CONN
ML
41%
13-19
76%
29-9
60%
18-12
66%
23-12
ATS
50%
16-16
74%
28-10
60%
18-12
66%
23-12
TTL
53%
17-15
50%
19-19
100%
30-0
100%
35-0