FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
11-5 | Road
96
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
11-5 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
100%
SOONERS
0%
GATORS
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
FLA By 1-7 points
0.0%
FLA By 8-14 points
0.0%
OU By 1-7 points
0.5%
OU By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
60
FLORIDA
Oklahoma
93
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Florida
71
FLORIDA
Oklahoma
77
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sooners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sooners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sooners (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Sooners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
FLA @ OU
96 - 79
Feb 18, 2025
OU @ FLA
63 - 85
Dec 20, 2022
FLA @ OU
53 - 62
Dec 1, 2021
FLA @ OU
67 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+10.7% more
Oklahoma: 12.1
vs
Florida: 11.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Oklahoma: 32.7%
vs
Florida: 28.1%
Steals (L5)
+36.7% more
Florida: 8.4
vs
Oklahoma: 5.3
Blocks (L5)
+23.1% more
Florida: 5.5
vs
Oklahoma: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
60.0
96
OU Score
93.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 28.1
63.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.7 / 15.5
13.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.5
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 47.4
43.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 73.5
71.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 46.4
31.0 / 43.0
Steals
5.3 / 8.4
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.0
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FLA
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FLA
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
FLA
OU
FLA
ML
78%
28-8
77%
27-8
59%
20-14
63%
22-13
ATS
72%
26-10
69%
24-11
59%
20-14
63%
22-13
TTL
75%
27-9
63%
22-13
100%
34-0
100%
35-0
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