TEXAS A&M
AGGIESTA&M
13-3 | Road
82
TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
11-5 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
VOLUNTEERS
100%
AGGIES
--
VOLUNTEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TENN +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
TA&M By 1-7 points
27.2%
TA&M By 8-14 points
20.1%
TENN By 1-7 points
21.6%
TENN By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M
64
TEXAS A&M
Tennessee
61
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Texas A&M
71
TEXAS A&M
Tennessee
75
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Aggies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
TA&M @ TENN
82 - 87
Feb 22, 2025
TENN @ TA&M
77 - 69
Feb 24, 2024
TA&M @ TENN
51 - 86
Feb 10, 2024
TENN @ TA&M
69 - 85
Feb 21, 2023
TENN @ TA&M
63 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+12.0% more
Texas A&M: 16.2
vs
Tennessee: 14.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Texas A&M: 73.1%
vs
Tennessee: 64.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+18.0% more
Tennessee: 14.1
vs
Texas A&M: 12.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Tennessee: 37.9%
vs
Texas A&M: 36.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score
64.0
82
TENN Score
61.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 36.0
25.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.3 / 16.2
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.1
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 47.7
37.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
64.0 / 73.1
74.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 37.1
60.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.8 / 9.5
10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 12.0
19.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
TA&M
TENN
TA&M
ML
46%
17-20
67%
20-10
64%
21-12
54%
15-13
ATS
54%
20-17
67%
20-10
64%
21-12
54%
15-13
TTL
76%
28-9
70%
21-9
100%
33-0
100%
28-0
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