Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Islanders @ Lions AMCC @ ETAM

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

8-8  |  Road

61
FINAL
Mon, Jan 12 • 7:30 PM ET
The Field House
View Odds Details →

EAST TEXAS A&M

LIONSETAM

7-10  |  Home

50
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
ISLANDERS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
EAST TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (East Texas A&M)
IslandersAMCC (-3.5) 0 LionsETAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

8.1%

Lions Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ETAM -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETAM)

AMCC By 1-7 points

5.8%

AMCC By 8-14 points

1.4%

ETAM By 1-7 points

16.9%

ETAM By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
74
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
88
EAST TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
73
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
78
EAST TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+4) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.0 Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u140.0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 ETAM @ AMCC 71 - 84
Jan 12, 2026 AMCC @ ETAM 61 - 50
Feb 3, 2025 AMCC @ ETAM 78 - 66
Feb 17, 2024 ETAM @ AMCC 63 - 86
Jan 29, 2024 AMCC @ ETAM 69 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +41.7% more
East Texas A&M: 18.8 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 13.3
Turnovers (L5) +30.9% more
East Texas A&M: 14.3 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 10.9
Steals (L5) +18.0% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 8.7 vs East Texas A&M: 7.2
Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 47.8% vs East Texas A&M: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score 74.0 61
ETAM Score 88.0 50
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 35.7 5.0 / 21.0
Assists 18.8 / 13.3 11.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.6 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 47.8 33.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 67.7 59.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 35.4 35.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.2 / 8.7 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 10.9 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
ETAM
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
ETAM
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ETAM
AMCC
ETAM
AMCC
ML
52% 13-12
70% 21-9
62% 15-9
67% 18-9
ATS
56% 14-11
67% 20-10
62% 15-9
67% 18-9
TTL
68% 17-8
60% 18-12
100% 24-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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